Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -4000 KENN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +34 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -13.7 (+20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -11.8 (+22.2) | 140.9 (+1.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -13.3 (+20.7) | 139.8 (+2.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -11.2 (+22.8) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -11.3 (+22.7) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 8-2 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#56) | 0.4 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#64) | 0.42 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#54) | 0.10 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#34) | 0.499 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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