Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -500 PRST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -8.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -7.2 (-4.2) | 154.1 (-1.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -10.4 (-7.4) | 153.2 (-0.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -6.6 (-3.6) | 155.1 (-2.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -7.5 (-4.5) | 154.1 (-1.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 6-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-3 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#132) | -0.7 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#80) | 0.18 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#93) | 0.13 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#31) | 0.551 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 43.3% |
Game Analysis
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