Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +41 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -29.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -28.7 (+12.3) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -24.8 (+16.2) | 138.2 (+2.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -23.4 (+17.6) | 137.7 (+3.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -26.6 (+14.4) | 136.7 (+4.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 80.1 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#48) | -14.9 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#52) | -2.75 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#41) | -3.73 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#60) | 0.418 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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