Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -350 MEM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +3 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -14.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -10.5 (-7.5) | 151.2 (+27.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -10.7 (-7.7) | 152.1 (+26.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -12.7 (-9.7) | 151.6 (+27.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -14.0 (-11.0) | 151.9 (+27.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2021 | MEM 92 – 78 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-0 | 13-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#4) | 9.6 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.12 (#4) | 2.11 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.01 (#3) | 3.36 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#4) | 0.633 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 49.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 16.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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