Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +23 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -25.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -22.7 (+0.3) | 128.9 (-9.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -21.8 (+1.2) | 133.5 (-14.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -21.6 (+1.4) | 132.1 (-13.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -22.2 (+0.8) | 131.1 (-12.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-9 | 4-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#87) | -15.5 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#138) | -1.81 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#124) | -2.42 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#116) | 0.435 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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