Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -1000 CP +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -10.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -7.7 (-1.7) | 131.5 (+10.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -10.9 (-4.9) | 129.9 (+12.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -7.4 (-1.4) | 132.5 (+9.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -7.9 (-1.9) | 132.5 (+9.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 1-18 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#97) | -0.8 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#93) | -0.13 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#72) | -0.06 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#83) | 0.485 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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