Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -225 PRIN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -4.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -3.9 (+2.1) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -3.3 (+2.7) | 141.8 (-7.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -3.0 (+3.0) | 141.3 (-7.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -3.0 (+3.0) | 142.9 (-8.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | IONA 89 – 69 PRIN |
| Nov 5, 2024 | PRIN 81 – 80 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#31) | 7.9 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#73) | 1.22 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#77) | 1.87 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#52) | 0.525 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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