Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -2000 FDU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +29 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -15.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -12.2 (+16.8) | 145.6 (-20.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -15.7 (+13.3) | 147.3 (-22.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -11.5 (+17.5) | 145.7 (-20.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -12.5 (+16.5) | 145.6 (-20.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#103) | -6.5 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#228) | -0.99 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#170) | -1.44 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#174) | 0.415 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.