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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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5–0 on winners spread MAE 4.9 43 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Washington State @ Boise State	—	—	—	61–71	—
Binghamton @ Marist	—	—	—	78–75	—
Morgan State @ VCU	—	—	—	54–69	—
St. Bonaventure @ Canisius	—	—	—	80–84	—
Evansville @ Saint Louis	—	—	—	65–83	—
Georgia Tech @ Georgia State	—	—	—	59–57	—
Hartford @ Saint Francis	—	—	—	53–77	—
UAlbany @ Siena	—	—	—	62–75	—
Illinois State @ Northwestern State	—	—	—	69–67	—
Bellarmine @ Morehead State	—	—	—	55–62	—
Northeastern @ Providence	—	—	—	65–89	—
Cal State Northridge @ Utah Tech	—	—	—	63–69	—
New Mexico State @ UTEP	—	—	—	64–67	—
UC Davis @ Loyola Marymount	—	—	—	75–85	—
Sacramento State @ UC San Diego	—	—	—	65–55	—
Eastern Kentucky @ Cincinnati	—	—	—	69–87	—
Columbia @ Sacred Heart	—	—	—	85–88	—
Quinnipiac @ Central Connecticut	—	—	—	72–70	—
North Carolina A&T @ Iowa State	—	—	—	43–80	—
Colorado @ Tennessee	—	—	—	78–66	—
Eastern Illinois @ Central Michigan	—	—	—	60–76	—
Pacific @ North Dakota State	—	—	—	91–86	—
Harvard @ Elon	—	—	—	92–77	—
VMI @ Davidson	—	—	—	71–75	—
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi State	+17.5	125.7	88%	47–80	✓
Oklahoma State @ Oakland	—	—	—	91–62	—
St. Francis Brooklyn @ St. Thomas	—	—	—	48–84	—
Idaho @ Omaha	—	—	—	72–79	—
Arizona State @ Texas Southern	+1.1	145.8	64%	66–67	✓
Southern Illinois @ Southern Indiana	—	—	—	53–71	—
SE Louisiana @ Wyoming	—	—	—	76–72	—
American University @ George Mason	—	—	—	56–73	—
Towson @ Pennsylvania	-5.3	135.8	30%	80–74	✓
Youngstown State @ Notre Dame	—	—	—	81–88	—
Louisiana @ East Tennessee State	—	—	—	81–77	—
Western Michigan @ Valparaiso	—	—	—	65–81	—
NJIT @ San Diego	—	—	—	64–74	—
Alabama State @ Pepperdine	+23.2	155.6	90%	62–91	✓
Manhattan @ Fairleigh Dickinson	—	—	—	74–77	—
Brown @ Loyola Maryland	+7.4	138.2	82%	70–75	✓
Portland State @ Seattle U	—	—	—	71–83	—
Lindenwood @ Missouri	—	—	—	53–82	—
William & Mary @ Virginia Tech	—	—	—	77–94	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.