You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–9 on winners spread MAE 6.9 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
American University @ Holy Cross +1.8 132.3 53% 60–54 ✗
Vermont @ Hartford -11.1 139.4 19% 74–75 ✗
Duquesne @ Davidson +12.8 137.7 88% 61–72 ✓
Tulsa @ UCF +8.4 138.7 80% 67–76 ✓
James Madison @ Delaware +3.5 143.0 62% 60–81 ✓
Drexel @ Charleston +1.4 149.2 60% 75–79 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +3.1 146.2 63% 77–86 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Coppin State +0.6 141.4 50% 77–74 ✗
Howard @ Maryland Eastern Shore -0.8 140.4 42% 77–71 ✓
Virginia @ Virginia Tech +6.8 125.6 67% 53–62 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State +2.4 135.9 64% 73–78 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.6 141.7 47% 98–102 ✗
Niagara @ Marist +3.2 136.2 66% 70–77 ✓
Canisius @ Fairfield +4.4 134.6 67% 76–80 ✓
South Carolina State @ Morgan State +1.1 147.7 60% 66–76 ✓
Norfolk State @ Delaware State -13.8 136.3 13% 69–66 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Southern Miss -11.2 142.0 14% 87–77 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama A&M +5.1 132.5 73% 69–74 ✓
Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado +0.0 158.6 44% 95–100 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ UIC +13.5 128.1 88% 54–57 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern +4.7 137.8 72% 70–58 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +4.2 122.8 57% 51–71 ✓
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M +3.5 144.1 66% 70–71 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alcorn State +4.1 131.9 65% 56–68 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas +11.0 147.1 85% 62–76 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon +2.9 132.3 71% 59–62 ✓
Dayton @ Rhode Island -2.8 125.8 33% 63–57 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +10.7 144.6 86% 77–88 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State +9.8 153.4 76% 85–71 ✗
High Point @ Longwood +9.2 140.0 82% 66–70 ✓
Akron @ Western Michigan -10.2 131.4 20% 57–61 ✗
Kent State @ Toledo +9.7 146.0 79% 72–59 ✗
Michigan State @ Penn State -2.2 127.6 48% 58–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.