What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–9 on winners spread MAE 7.2 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Duke +11.9 131.8 81% 69–68 ✗
Temple @ South Florida -3.2 127.9 35% 49–52 ✗
Presbyterian @ Hampton -3.8 129.9 33% 69–74 ✗
George Mason @ Richmond +5.4 138.1 75% 59–62 ✓
UTSA @ Middle Tennessee +12.0 143.4 86% 75–84 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech +11.2 127.8 84% 47–74 ✓
New Hampshire @ Stony Brook +3.5 141.0 64% 67–65 ✗
Chattanooga @ Mercer -6.1 136.0 27% 74–72 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina -3.9 135.4 33% 68–49 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +11.9 131.2 86% 58–84 ✓
Lafayette @ Navy +11.3 125.6 84% 44–68 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State -5.6 145.0 34% 71–75 ✗
James Madison @ Drexel +4.6 147.8 67% 66–72 ✓
Austin Peay @ Belmont +17.7 143.5 90% 58–72 ✓
Howard @ Delaware State -12.2 136.6 13% 69–64 ✓
Texas Southern @ Bethune-Cookman -8.4 129.1 17% 66–63 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +0.9 140.5 52% 60–61 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State -0.9 142.5 51% 68–74 ✗
Montana State @ Idaho State -11.8 137.3 15% 72–54 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +4.0 141.6 67% 74–76 ✓
UTEP @ North Texas +11.2 118.4 82% 58–66 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -5.3 129.6 27% 60–47 ✓
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -8.9 141.3 14% 79–71 ✓
Arizona @ Arizona State -13.5 147.3 18% 91–79 ✓
Kansas @ Texas +1.7 132.1 68% 76–79 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +2.5 150.7 62% 76–47 ✗
Southern Utah @ Montana -0.0 142.3 43% 67–78 ✗
Alabama State @ Southern +11.0 146.7 84% 58–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +4.3 131.3 73% 50–58 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +8.0 148.1 80% 60–82 ✓
Old Dominion @ Florida Atlantic +6.6 134.9 74% 62–81 ✓
North Carolina @ Clemson +1.7 148.6 50% 79–77 ✗
Marquette @ UConn +7.1 148.6 81% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.