Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +8 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -6.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -4.3 (+3.7) | 131.3 (-23.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -5.2 (+2.8) | 130.5 (-22.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.2 (+2.8) | 131.1 (-23.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -4.0 (+4.0) | 133.1 (-25.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 10, 2026 | AAMU 66 – 58 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GRAM 67 – 51 AAMU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | GRAM 72 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 61.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#313) | -12.1 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#280) | -2.31 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#290) | -2.78 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#273) | 0.383 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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