Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | SCST +110 NCCU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -1.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -0.9 (+6.9) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -2.1 (+8.1) | 140.8 (+1.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -1.9 (+7.9) | 141.9 (+0.1) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -1.8 (+7.8) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SCST 80 – 64 NCCU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SCST 85 – 72 NCCU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SCST 88 – 67 NCCU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SCST 87 – 71 NCCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NCCU 82 – 77 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#326) | -5.9 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#287) | -0.93 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#310) | -1.51 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#317) | 0.460 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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