Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +13 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -6.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -5.3 (-7.7) | 129.6 (-22.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -4.6 (-8.4) | 129.5 (-22.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -4.0 (-9.0) | 130.6 (-23.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -4.2 (-8.8) | 130.8 (-23.8) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-17 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#354) | -7.4 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#350) | -1.97 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.84 (#353) | -2.47 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#339) | 0.415 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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