Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -9.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -8.4 (+5.4) | 129.1 (-0.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -8.2 (+5.2) | 129.8 (-0.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -7.7 (+4.7) | 131.4 (-2.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -8.2 (+5.2) | 129.6 (-0.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BCU 79 – 69 TXSO |
| Feb 11, 2025 | BCU 80 – 77 TXSO |
| Feb 13, 2024 | BCU 83 – 79 TXSO |
| Feb 7, 2023 | TXSO 69 – 62 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-6 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-13 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#332) | 0.7 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#336) | -0.43 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#338) | -0.29 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#349) | 0.483 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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