Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -125 TXSO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -0.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.0 (+4.0) | 143.5 (+18.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -0.2 (+3.8) | 140.3 (+21.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -0.1 (+3.9) | 141.5 (+20.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -0.2 (+3.8) | 144.4 (+17.6) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BCU 79 – 69 TXSO |
| Feb 11, 2025 | BCU 80 – 77 TXSO |
| Feb 7, 2023 | TXSO 69 – 62 BCU |
| Feb 8, 2022 | TXSO 66 – 63 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#320) | -6.7 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#296) | -0.67 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#297) | -1.12 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#322) | 0.474 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.1% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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