Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -350 BCU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -7.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -4.8 (+2.2) | 145.8 (-14.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -3.1 (+3.9) | 145.4 (-14.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -3.5 (+3.5) | 145.9 (-14.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -3.2 (+3.8) | 147.4 (-16.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BCU 79 – 69 TXSO |
| Feb 11, 2025 | BCU 80 – 77 TXSO |
| Feb 13, 2024 | BCU 83 – 79 TXSO |
| Feb 8, 2022 | TXSO 66 – 63 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#321) | -13.1 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#335) | -1.61 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#339) | -2.18 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#325) | 0.395 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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