Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -125 BCU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -0.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.3 (-3.3) | 143.4 (+13.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -0.8 (-3.8) | 140.4 (+16.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -0.7 (-3.7) | 142.5 (+14.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -0.3 (-3.3) | 143.1 (+13.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BCU 79 – 69 TXSO |
| Feb 13, 2024 | BCU 83 – 79 TXSO |
| Feb 7, 2023 | TXSO 69 – 62 BCU |
| Feb 8, 2022 | TXSO 66 – 63 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-2 |
| Away | 6-12 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#307) | -6.2 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#325) | -0.80 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#301) | -1.06 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#322) | 0.463 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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