Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -360 TXSO +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -8.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -7.7 (+2.3) | 150.7 (-2.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -9.1 (+0.9) | 147.3 (+0.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -7.9 (+2.1) | 148.7 (-0.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -7.3 (+2.7) | 150.6 (-2.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2025 | BCU 80 – 77 TXSO |
| Feb 13, 2024 | BCU 83 – 79 TXSO |
| Feb 7, 2023 | TXSO 69 – 62 BCU |
| Feb 8, 2022 | TXSO 66 – 63 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#265) | -12.0 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#193) | -1.91 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#198) | -2.40 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#178) | 0.409 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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