Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -2.0 Push |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | CLEM +110 UNC -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -1.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -1.7 (-3.7) | 148.6 (+7.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -1.7 (-3.7) | 152.2 (+3.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -0.9 (-2.9) | 154.4 (+1.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -1.2 (-3.2) | 152.4 (+3.6) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 79 UNC |
| Mar 4, 2026 | UNC 67 – 63 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CLEM 85 – 65 UNC |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CLEM 80 – 76 UNC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNC 65 – 55 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#65) | 9.9 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#109) | 1.92 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#97) | 2.39 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#115) | 0.604 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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