Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -17.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -14.7 (-5.7) | 144.1 (+14.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -12.0 (-3.0) | 143.4 (+15.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -14.7 (-5.7) | 143.1 (+15.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -15.3 (-6.3) | 142.5 (+16.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | MTSU 84 – 60 UTSA |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UTSA 75 – 72 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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