Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -18.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -12.2 (+7.2) | 136.6 (-3.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -13.3 (+8.3) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -13.5 (+8.5) | 136.2 (-3.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -14.2 (+9.2) | 138.9 (-5.9) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 16-13 |
| Conference | 0-14 | 9-5 |
| Home | 2-11 | 8-4 |
| Away | 0-13 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L25 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -22.3 (#359) | -1.1 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.76 (#358) | -1.14 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.27 (#358) | -1.18 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#353) | 0.430 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 25.5% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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