Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +3 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -4.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -5.4 (-2.4) | 138.1 (-17.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -5.9 (-2.9) | 140.9 (-19.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -5.3 (-2.3) | 140.4 (-19.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -5.2 (-2.2) | 141.6 (-20.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | RICH 82 – 70 GMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | GMU 64 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GMU 64 – 58 RICH |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GMU 64 – 46 RICH |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RICH 77 – 70 GMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#87) | 4.8 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#89) | 0.41 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#94) | 0.61 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#76) | 0.519 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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