Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | RICH +240 GMU -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +4 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | GMU -8.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -6.9 (+2.9) | 131.0 (-7.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -6.0 (+2.0) | 129.4 (-5.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -7.0 (+3.0) | 131.2 (-7.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -6.6 (+2.6) | 131.0 (-7.0) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | RICH 82 – 70 GMU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GMU 64 – 58 RICH |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GMU 64 – 46 RICH |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RICH 77 – 70 GMU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | GMU 62 – 57 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-9 | 18-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 64.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#247) | 6.6 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#250) | 1.64 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#244) | 2.15 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#233) | 0.592 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 19.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.