Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE +105 SEMO -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +29 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -5.2 (-34.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-35.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.5 (-31.5) | 150.7 (-27.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.0 (-32.0) | 153.0 (-30.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.7 (-31.7) | 152.4 (-29.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.3 (-31.3) | 154.2 (-31.2) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#273) | -8.1 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#316) | -1.49 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#320) | -1.93 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#314) | 0.441 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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