Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -1100 EIU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -16.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -11.9 (+14.1) | 131.2 (+10.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -11.4 (+14.6) | 131.0 (+11.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -11.2 (+14.8) | 131.2 (+10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -12.2 (+13.8) | 131.0 (+11.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-7 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#251) | -17.9 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#324) | -3.05 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#318) | -3.77 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#320) | 0.366 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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