Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +12 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -13.5 (+1.5) | 147.3 (+22.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -13.2 (+1.2) | 144.3 (+25.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.9 (+0.9) | 146.3 (+23.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -12.0 (+0.0) | 148.6 (+21.4) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 18-2 |
| Home | 9-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#131) | 22.6 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#129) | 3.77 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#145) | 4.63 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#124) | 0.643 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 43.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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