Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -1.0 Push |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -3.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -0.9 (+0.1) | 140.5 (-19.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -1.8 (-0.8) | 141.0 (-20.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -2.3 (-1.3) | 142.2 (-21.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -2.3 (-1.3) | 142.2 (-21.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | FAMU 100 – 96 PV |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FAMU 75 – 66 PV |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAMU 78 – 67 PV |
| Feb 13, 2024 | PV 61 – 58 FAMU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | PV 75 – 45 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#308) | -8.6 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#279) | -2.21 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#304) | -2.53 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#279) | 0.420 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
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