Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | PV -125 FAMU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -1.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -1.2 (-9.8) | 151.3 (-6.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -1.1 (-12.1) | 148.4 (-3.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -0.9 (-10.1) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -0.8 (-10.2) | 151.0 (-6.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | FAMU 100 – 96 PV |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FAMU 75 – 66 PV |
| Feb 13, 2024 | PV 61 – 58 FAMU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | PV 75 – 45 FAMU |
| Feb 8, 2022 | FAMU 61 – 60 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 3-7 | 9-3 |
| Away | 2-19 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#348) | -12.1 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#358) | -1.37 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.85 (#358) | -1.86 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#350) | 0.443 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 28.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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