Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU -166 PV +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +4 | 196 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -2.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+46.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -1.3 (+2.7) | 144.5 (+51.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -1.8 (+2.2) | 144.7 (+51.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -2.0 (+2.0) | 141.0 (+55.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -1.9 (+2.1) | 141.4 (+54.6) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | FAMU 75 – 66 PV |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAMU 78 – 67 PV |
| Feb 13, 2024 | PV 61 – 58 FAMU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | PV 75 – 45 FAMU |
| Feb 8, 2022 | FAMU 61 – 60 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#340) | -12.3 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#314) | -1.93 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#305) | -2.47 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#337) | 0.401 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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