Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | PV -500 FAMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +30 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | PV -11.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -9.8 (+20.2) | 129.4 (-9.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -8.9 (+21.1) | 128.0 (-8.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -8.8 (+21.2) | 129.8 (-9.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -8.7 (+21.3) | 129.0 (-9.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | FAMU 100 – 96 PV |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FAMU 75 – 66 PV |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAMU 78 – 67 PV |
| Feb 13, 2024 | PV 61 – 58 FAMU |
| Feb 8, 2022 | FAMU 61 – 60 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-3 | 4-7 |
| Away | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#280) | -14.2 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#316) | -2.65 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#303) | -3.24 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#327) | 0.377 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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