Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Al Lawson Center · February 13, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread PV -1.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money FAMU +100 / PV -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAMU win
Actual PV +3 119 Lost
Massey FAMU -0.1 (-3.1)
Massey Totals 147.2 (-28.2)
Bradley-Terry 35%
Weighted B-T 27%
Efficiency Plus ML PV -1.1 (-1.9) 143.3 (-24.3) 42%
Baseline Tuned ML PV -0.4 (-2.6) 142.8 (-23.8) 45%
Baseline ML PV -0.3 (-2.7) 143.1 (-24.1) 49%
Baseline Plus ML PV -0.9 (-2.1) 146.4 (-27.4) 45%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2026 FAMU 10096 PV
Mar 12, 2025 FAMU 7566 PV
Feb 11, 2025 FAMU 7867 PV
Feb 7, 2023 PV 7545 FAMU
Feb 8, 2022 FAMU 6160 PV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAMU PV
Overall 6-23 10-21
Conference 4-14 5-13
Home 4-8 5-6
Away 2-15 4-15
Neutral 0-0 1-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L7
Avg Pts For 65.0 68.8
Avg Pts Against 76.7 77.3
Massey -13.7 (#344) -10.3 (#327)
Bradley-Terry -2.33 (#342) -1.07 (#282)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.15 (#350) -1.45 (#288)
RPI 0.409 (#326) 0.436 (#295)
Shooting & Four Factors FAMU PV
FG% 42.8% 40.9%
3PT% 35.9% 31.1%
REB / G 33.6 30.7
OREB / G 9.3 10.3
AST / TO 0.97 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 44.9%
TOV% 20.9% 17.5%
ORB% 26.4% 27.2%
FT Rate 17.7% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.5% 53.7%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 22.8%
DRB% 69.2% 64.1%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 34.7%

Game Analysis

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