Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +100 PV -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -0.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -0.9 (-2.1) | 146.4 (-27.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -1.1 (-1.9) | 143.3 (-24.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -0.4 (-2.6) | 142.8 (-23.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -0.3 (-2.7) | 143.1 (-24.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | FAMU 100 – 96 PV |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FAMU 75 – 66 PV |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAMU 78 – 67 PV |
| Feb 7, 2023 | PV 75 – 45 FAMU |
| Feb 8, 2022 | FAMU 61 – 60 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#344) | -10.3 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#342) | -1.07 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#350) | -1.45 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#326) | 0.436 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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