Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USF +3 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -3.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -3.2 (+6.2) | 127.9 (-26.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -4.6 (+7.6) | 127.6 (-26.6) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -4.7 (+7.7) | 125.8 (-24.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -4.2 (+7.2) | 128.3 (-27.3) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | TEM 79 – 78 USF |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TEM 73 – 71 USF |
| Feb 7, 2025 | USF 100 – 91 TEM |
| Jan 25, 2024 | USF 75 – 69 TEM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | USF 76 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 57.5 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#235) | 3.3 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#245) | 1.22 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#223) | 1.10 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#260) | 0.550 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 24.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.