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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
27–10 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
37 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-6.6 | 137.8 | 31% | 63–68 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.2 | 144.8 | 46% | 77–62 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.8 | 129.0 | 26% | 70–62 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.0 | 134.1 | 46% | 80–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.4 | 135.2 | 71% | 88–71 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.2 | 140.4 | 50% | 92–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.9 | 146.6 | 84% | 59–63 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.4 | 140.9 | 36% | 80–52 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.7 | 137.6 | 40% | 56–74 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.5 | 137.7 | 85% | 68–59 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.4 | 141.0 | 81% | 57–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.8 | 140.3 | 89% | 65–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 136.2 | 82% | 64–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.8 | 135.1 | 63% | 60–74 | ✓ |
|
|
-10.3 | 153.2 | 16% | 89–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 140.3 | 61% | 86–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.4 | 143.3 | 19% | 76–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.2 | 137.8 | 69% | 71–60 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.0 | 132.9 | 60% | 68–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.7 | 147.4 | 77% | 69–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.1 | 143.1 | 88% | 59–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.5 | 144.3 | 78% | 76–90 | ✓ |
|
|
-12.7 | 126.6 | 16% | 67–53 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.3 | 133.3 | 86% | 64–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.7 | 132.3 | 71% | 51–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.5 | 139.1 | 29% | 79–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 134.0 | 55% | 56–60 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.1 | 134.2 | 49% | 55–66 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.9 | 136.9 | 28% | 80–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.8 | 146.5 | 63% | 72–70 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.8 | 129.6 | 28% | 64–58 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.2 | 137.7 | 39% | 73–68 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.1 | 144.8 | 21% | 75–81 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.9 | 156.8 | 59% | 85–81 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.1 | 149.3 | 84% | 74–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 137.2 | 53% | 65–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.3 | 140.1 | 80% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.