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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–5 on winners spread MAE 9.3 25 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Northeastern @ North Carolina	+10.9	138.8	83%	62–82	✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Fairleigh Dickinson	+2.4	161.0	56%	90–87	✗
Richmond @ VCU	+3.4	136.5	69%	56–68	✓
South Florida @ UCF	+2.4	130.3	58%	65–81	✓
Nebraska @ Maryland	+9.0	133.2	83%	71–79	✓
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt	-0.7	139.7	48%	82–78	✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State	+4.4	136.4	66%	71–64	✗
The Citadel @ Wofford	+6.0	152.8	77%	67–81	✓
Samford @ Furman	+11.6	150.1	86%	64–78	✓
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga	+6.7	143.3	80%	81–89	✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI	-1.4	145.9	44%	77–88	✗
Arizona State @ USC	+12.6	150.6	87%	71–89	✓
Valparaiso @ Loyola Chicago	+16.5	127.6	90%	52–54	✓
Kansas @ Kansas State	-11.7	134.3	17%	59–41	✓
Drake @ Northern Iowa	-9.3	138.6	26%	77–69	✓
Wyoming @ New Mexico	-5.8	140.7	25%	83–74	✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall	+9.6	137.0	83%	52–60	✓
Duke @ Wake Forest	-1.2	140.6	49%	84–60	✓
South Carolina @ Tennessee	+9.2	144.4	83%	73–93	✓
Minnesota @ Indiana	+2.3	145.8	65%	72–82	✓
Utah State @ Boise State	+1.3	136.8	66%	70–79	✓
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois	-5.7	132.9	27%	68–53	✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian	+3.6	130.4	56%	65–51	✗
Gardner-Webb @ Radford	+2.3	131.1	61%	77–49	✗
Campbell @ Hampton	-0.9	138.6	45%	76–57	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.