Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -120 RICH +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -3.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.7 (+7.3) | 140.2 (-16.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.4 (+8.6) | 136.5 (-12.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.0 (+8.0) | 139.7 (-15.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.9 (+7.1) | 140.4 (-16.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-7 | 14-9 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#45) | 9.7 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#35) | 1.73 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#37) | 2.31 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#32) | 0.569 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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