Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -700 SC +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +20 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -13.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.7 (+8.3) | 144.9 (+21.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -9.2 (+10.8) | 144.4 (+21.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.1 (+7.9) | 146.8 (+19.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.7 (+8.3) | 145.3 (+20.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | TENN 78 – 59 SC |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TENN 75 – 65 SC |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TENN 66 – 59 SC |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SC 63 – 59 TENN |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TENN 85 – 45 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 4-4 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#12) | 4.9 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#28) | 0.48 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#27) | 0.82 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#48) | 0.510 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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