Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
New Mexico Lobos
74 – 83 OT
FINAL Neutral Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · Clune Arena (Neutral) · February 18, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -6.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money UNM +260 / WYO -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual WYO +9 157 Lost
Massey WYO -8.0 (-1.0) — —
Massey Totals — 141.6 (+15.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 19% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 17% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -6.9 (-2.1) 141.2 (+15.8) 25% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WYO -5.8 (-3.2) 140.7 (+16.3) 25% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WYO -7.0 (-2.0) 141.0 (+16.0) 23% ✓
Baseline ML WYO -6.6 (-2.4) 140.8 (+16.2) 23% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 UNM 78 – 58 WYO
Feb 13, 2025 UNM 71 – 67 WYO
Jan 8, 2025 UNM 61 – 53 WYO
Feb 7, 2024 UNM 91 – 73 WYO
Jan 7, 2024 UNM 77 – 60 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM WYO
Overall 6-16 14-11
Conference 2-15 7-9
Home 1-4 7-5
Away 3-8 4-5
Neutral 1-4 3-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 62.1 76.6
Avg Pts Against 72.8 75.5
Massey -11.1 (#321) -3.1 (#214)
Bradley-Terry -1.14 (#262) 0.30 (#151)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.41 (#259) 0.20 (#157)
RPI 0.430 (#283) 0.466 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM WYO
FG% 37.7% 44.2%
3PT% 24.1% 34.6%
REB / G 36.1 32.3
OREB / G 12.9 8.2
AST / TO 0.72 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 41.2% 52.7%
TOV% 21.4% 15.9%
ORB% 32.8% 22.8%
FT Rate 18.4% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 18.3%
DRB% 69.9% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 25.5%

Game Analysis

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