Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | IU -225 MINN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | IU -3.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -3.6 (+6.4) | 144.4 (+9.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -2.3 (+7.7) | 145.8 (+8.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -3.2 (+6.8) | 145.5 (+8.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -3.5 (+6.5) | 143.6 (+10.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | IU 77 – 47 MINN |
| Dec 4, 2025 | MINN 73 – 64 IU |
| Dec 9, 2024 | IU 82 – 67 MINN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | IU 70 – 58 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | IU 74 – 62 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#32) | 11.0 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#49) | 2.38 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#32) | 3.33 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#85) | 0.571 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.