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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
15–9 on winners
spread MAE 8.0
24 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Missouri
@
Georgia
|
-1.3 | 153.0 | 50% | 70–80 | ✗ |
Florida
@
Arkansas
|
+4.0 | 149.0 | 74% | 64–75 | ✓ |
Wagner
@
Mount St. Mary's
|
+3.2 | 125.3 | 47% | 61–39 | ✗ |
Nebraska
@
Maryland
|
+8.8 | 135.4 | 83% | 50–64 | ✓ |
Austin Peay
@
Southeast Missouri State
|
-3.4 | 134.0 | 39% | 81–86 | ✗ |
St. Francis Brooklyn
@
Fairleigh Dickinson
|
+3.4 | 159.2 | 55% | 83–75 | ✗ |
Temple
@
Tulsa
|
+2.4 | 128.2 | 64% | 66–72 | ✓ |
Michigan State
@
Purdue
|
+7.5 | 134.7 | 80% | 65–75 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
Rhode Island
|
+2.8 | 134.6 | 65% | 89–91 | ✓ |
Bowling Green
@
Ball State
|
-0.1 | 148.5 | 49% | 75–62 | ✓ |
Miami (OH)
@
Toledo
|
+10.0 | 149.3 | 85% | 75–87 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Western Michigan
|
-10.4 | 140.0 | 17% | 76–69 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
St. John's
|
+0.5 | 152.7 | 55% | 84–93 | ✓ |
Northwestern
@
Illinois
|
+11.8 | 147.2 | 88% | 66–73 | ✓ |
Loyola Marymount
@
Santa Clara
|
-1.6 | 136.7 | 41% | 76–73 | ✓ |
La Salle
@
Saint Louis
|
+13.1 | 138.5 | 88% | 57–78 | ✓ |
|
Wagner
@
Mount St. Mary's
|
+3.0 | 126.8 | 51% | 57–55 | ✗ |
Iona
@
Quinnipiac
|
-2.7 | 138.4 | 38% | 70–74 | ✗ |
NC State
@
Pittsburgh
|
+3.3 | 139.9 | 67% | 74–73 | ✗ |
Sacred Heart
@
Central Connecticut
|
-0.5 | 142.1 | 46% | 82–70 | ✓ |
Boston University
@
Holy Cross
|
+1.3 | 141.5 | 54% | 78–69 | ✗ |
Evansville
@
Indiana State
|
+7.7 | 129.3 | 78% | 73–87 | ✓ |
Gardner-Webb
@
Radford
|
+3.9 | 131.6 | 63% | 69–57 | ✗ |
Marquette
@
Butler
|
-0.4 | 127.8 | 50% | 73–57 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.