Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN +275 IONA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -3.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -2.2 (+6.2) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -2.7 (+6.7) | 138.4 (+5.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -2.6 (+6.6) | 142.3 (+1.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -2.3 (+6.3) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 6-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-2 |
| Away | 1-5 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#270) | -0.4 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#267) | -0.09 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#254) | -0.25 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#307) | 0.504 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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