Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU +140 SHU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +12 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -1.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.3 (-11.7) | 141.1 (+10.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.5 (-11.5) | 142.1 (+9.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.4 (-11.6) | 142.4 (+9.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.1 (-11.9) | 140.9 (+11.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | CCSU 108 – 106 SHU |
| Nov 22, 2024 | SHU 67 – 54 CCSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CCSU 68 – 67 SHU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CCSU 77 – 70 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHU 69 – 67 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-7 |
| Home | 3-6 | 4-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#305) | -5.6 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#258) | 0.13 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#261) | -0.40 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#268) | 0.509 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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