Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | FDU -163 SFBK +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +8 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -4.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -4.4 (-12.4) | 159.4 (-1.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -3.4 (-11.4) | 159.2 (-1.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -3.8 (-11.8) | 162.6 (-4.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -4.7 (-12.7) | 160.9 (-2.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | FDU 83 – 75 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2023 | FDU 86 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 5, 2023 | FDU 76 – 57 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SFBK 81 – 64 FDU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SFBK 80 – 78 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#248) | -7.2 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#207) | -0.71 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#213) | -0.95 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#220) | 0.442 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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