Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -2000 LAS +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +21 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -15.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -13.3 (+7.7) | 143.8 (-8.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -13.1 (+7.9) | 138.5 (-3.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -15.4 (+5.6) | 141.3 (-6.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -14.5 (+6.5) | 143.1 (-8.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SLU 82 – 58 LAS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SLU 84 – 72 LAS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | SLU 64 – 52 LAS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | SLU 102 – 84 LAS |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SLU 84 – 71 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 6-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 1-4 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#32) | -1.2 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#65) | 0.04 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#63) | -0.01 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#106) | 0.503 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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