Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UGA +140 MIZ -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -4.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -2.3 (+12.3) | 157.0 (-7.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -1.3 (+11.3) | 153.0 (-3.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -2.2 (+12.2) | 157.2 (-7.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -2.0 (+12.0) | 156.6 (-6.6) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | UGA 74 – 72 MIZ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MIZ 87 – 74 UGA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UGA 64 – 59 MIZ |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UGA 75 – 68 MIZ |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MIZ 85 – 63 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#109) | 11.1 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#78) | 2.57 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#88) | 2.97 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#121) | 0.622 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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