Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | URI -150 DAY +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +2 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | URI -4.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+45.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -4.0 (-2.0) | 135.1 (+44.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -2.8 (-0.8) | 134.6 (+45.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -3.9 (-1.9) | 135.1 (+44.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -3.8 (-1.8) | 134.8 (+45.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 DAY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DAY 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DAY 96 – 62 URI |
| Jan 26, 2023 | URI 75 – 70 DAY |
| Feb 15, 2022 | DAY 63 – 57 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#81) | 4.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#126) | 1.16 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#93) | 1.94 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#158) | 0.542 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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