Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -188 GWEB +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +12 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -3.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -4.0 (-16.0) | 135.3 (-9.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -3.9 (-15.9) | 131.6 (-5.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -4.1 (-16.1) | 135.2 (-9.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -3.8 (-15.8) | 135.7 (-9.7) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | RAD 82 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RAD 89 – 80 GWEB |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RAD 63 – 56 GWEB |
| Jan 16, 2025 | RAD 79 – 75 GWEB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | RAD 90 – 74 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 11-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#180) | -2.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#208) | -1.89 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#204) | -1.97 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#129) | 0.443 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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