Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR -120 MARQ +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -0.4 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -0.8 (-16.8) | 132.1 (-2.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -0.4 (-15.6) | 127.8 (+2.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -0.5 (-16.5) | 131.2 (-1.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -0.3 (-16.3) | 133.0 (-3.0) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#129) | 5.4 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#123) | 1.00 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#114) | 1.31 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#186) | 0.496 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.