Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | HC +163 BU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | HC -2.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -2.2 (-11.2) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -1.3 (-10.3) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -2.2 (-11.2) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HC -2.3 (-11.3) | 144.1 (+2.9) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BU 78 – 63 HC |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BU 72 – 64 HC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HC 72 – 52 BU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | BU 69 – 59 HC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BU 94 – 84 HC |
Game Analysis
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