Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MD -450 NEB +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +14 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | MD -11.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -10.5 (+3.5) | 135.2 (-21.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -8.8 (+5.2) | 135.4 (-21.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -10.6 (+3.4) | 136.3 (-22.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -10.0 (+4.0) | 135.9 (-21.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NEB 74 – 61 MD |
| Feb 14, 2025 | MD 83 – 75 NEB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MD 69 – 66 NEB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MD 73 – 51 NEB |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NEB 70 – 66 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 7-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#34) | 3.0 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#43) | -0.12 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#31) | -0.10 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#40) | 0.476 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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